Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 182.624796 217.472126 260.409749 318.371306 396.476831 501.093962 657.491516
2025-01-19 135.240818 173.999461 227.747356 311.470359 446.564687 673.449070 1133.384922
2025-01-26 120.093316 163.533608 229.433553 344.825381 563.608627 1025.419314 2379.832830
2025-02-02 113.478756 162.351891 242.711413 400.053863 752.951459 1730.228343 6754.601684
2025-02-09 99.832444 146.825649 227.734191 397.138058 820.607267 2250.436492 14996.082657
2025-02-16 90.695860 136.780427 219.575030 404.431245 920.270405 3100.521710 51217.942106
2025-02-23 83.665143 129.016902 213.675925 414.337267 1038.369575 4426.234561 577241.629639
2025-03-02 78.350956 123.378678 210.561339 429.737894 1192.983387 6795.850505 NaN
2025-03-09 72.912500 116.681105 203.875176 433.683819 1314.447927 10031.732296 NaN
2025-03-16 66.759433 107.853378 191.116125 416.937090 1336.408419 12626.676634 NaN
2025-03-23 63.856921 104.904274 190.612979 435.479925 1554.119694 23983.552272 NaN
2025-03-30 58.874676 97.315939 178.482943 414.976140 1545.478858 30144.461562 NaN
2025-04-06 55.271872 92.628792 173.517124 420.081264 1733.709004 68451.255599 NaN
2025-04-13 51.168046 86.560012 164.529964 409.838870 1825.399423 150091.153988 NaN
2025-04-20 50.363108 87.144320 171.657761 459.509677 2521.380488 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 50.602222 89.948147 185.097552 543.668902 4067.759793 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 47.660564 85.415347 178.166298 539.167603 4511.439481 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 45.509201 82.411782 174.914222 550.438470 5389.973497 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 43.668091 79.907940 172.622831 565.810725 6623.907816 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 42.188133 78.073215 171.940205 589.853605 8614.857199 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 40.415843 75.372172 168.221367 596.041839 10349.788220 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 38.113051 71.217203 159.491554 569.857210 10374.712784 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 37.119111 70.105083 159.970105 598.862362 14514.302758 NaN NaN